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    Hi HN! Excited to show off the project we've been working on for the last couple months. We started with an idea for a crazy twist on prediction markets: You come up with a question for traders to predict, and then decide the outcome yourself. For example, you could create a market on “Will my date with [X] go well?” Anyone can bet on it, and the bets create a forecast on the chance your date goes well. After the date is over, you get to judge the result and reward the traders who picked the correct side. There are so many ways for this mechanism to go wrong: the creator of the market can be…

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    Hey HN! I'm Alex, one of the co-founders at Global Predictions. We are officially launching PortfolioPilot today! Since starting the company 2 years ago, we’ve been working tirelessly to build a personal portfolio management platform that empowers everyday people to feel more confident investing. We focused on aggregating your entire net worth, evaluating across a set of standardized metrics, and offering suggestions based on our commercial-grade Macro Insights & Recommendation Engine. We started by building a product we wanted to use and iterated and refined based on early user feedback. We…

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