Fatebook – Superforecasting in your Slack
Hey HN! I’ve been building Fatebook for the past couple of months. It’s a slack bot to help your team make and track predictions, right where you work. I see forecasting as anti-bullshit technology: - It gives you truthseeking incentives - You communicate your uncertainty as a probability, which is way clearer (70% is better than “probably”) - You can aggregate forecasts to get wisdom of the crowd effects - You can see everyone’s track record, and pay more attention to people who are consistently accurate I’m a fan of prediction markets [0] and forecasting platforms [1]. But predictions on…
Fatebook – Superforecasting in your Slack launched on June 13, 2023 with 5 votes, #1,966 of 4,655 launches that month and more than 50% of that year's launches. The site was still online in September 2026, 3 years on.
What it does
Track your predictions, right where your team works
Fatebook offers a quick, clear view into predictions across the organization. It's not just informative, it's engaging too. We absolutely love this thing so far. It just came in handy today with "if we deploy XYZ as a beeta feature will we decide to deploy it universally?" Getting a quick sense of that probability is great for deciding whether to put in the work on the feature! Anyone in the channel where you asked the question can forecast. The app only receives messages where you use the /forecast command or mention @Fatebook. Yes, only your team can see forecasts made in your Slack workspace. If you create a question in Slack, you can also see it on fatebook.io if you log in with the…from fatebook.io
In the maker’s words, at launch
Hey HN! I’ve been building Fatebook for the past couple of months. It’s a slack bot to help your team make and track predictions, right where you work. I see forecasting as anti-bullshit technology: - It gives you truthseeking incentives - You communicate your uncertainty as a probability, which is way clearer (70%…
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