Long Bets
The Arena for Accountable Predictions
Long Bets launched on March 27, 2015 with 2 votes. The site was still online in September 2026, 11 years on.
What it does
The purpose of Long Bets is to improve long–term thinking. Long Bets is a public arena for enjoyably competitive predictions, of interest to society, with philanthropic money at stake. The Long Now Foundation furnishes the continuity to see even the longest bets through to public resolution. This website provides a forum for discussion about what may be learned from the bets and their eventual outcomes. MORE » will go to Givewell if Rees wins, or Givewell if Pinkerfrom longbets.org
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