Risk-Cascade_Analyzer
See the domino chain before the first tile falls
What it does
Retro Cascade maps how small decisions chain into catastrophes — using Bayesian networks. Pick a scenario (fire, cyberattack, medical error…), set your conditions, and instantly see the probability of disaster — plus which single intervention cuts it most.
Does the same job
all alternatives →- TCThe Cascade Graph – An interactive map of AI and energy constraintsJun 2026 · atomprophet.io · ▲26
Hello, I wanted to share with you all a interactive map of the economics and physics constraints of the AI buildout. It has macro drivers, industrial chokepoints, and where that shows up in markets. I've added 393 nodes and 562 edges to capture other supply / physics constraints as well. There's no sign up, and no pay wall, it's all free. Please let me know what you think!
- ISI simulated closing the Strait of Hormuz on real oil trade dataJul 2026 · globaloilnetwork.staffinganalytics.io · ▲244
OP here: I created this visualization tool as the byproduct of a supply chain class I taught at Columbia. The pedagogical exercise grew into a full blown visualization and paper about global oil trade. The model: The mechanics are the same as the financial network Eisenberg-Noe: Instead of banks, every country consumes oil interconnected via bilateral trading. Shocks propagate throughout the network, depleting oil reserves when bottleneck nodes (such as the Strait of Hormuz) are blocked. Insights: The interesting part is the mechanics of how the crisis unfolds: for example, France receives 0…
- TTText to 3D simulation on a map (does history pretty well)2025 · mused.com · ▲72
Simulate anything on a map from a text prompt -- and conduct risk analysis against LiveUA map's global realtime data points from social media and news sources. I trained a GPT-2-size model on historical incident data used to predict things that will go wrong. As historian Benjamin Breen mentions, the leading language models are good historians, so the application will simulate historical events pretty well also. I include a Multi-Agent RL Urban Mobility model in progress displayed on the map as small white cubes representing traffic and pedestrians. Around SF, it uses real census data and…
- RHResearch Hacker News, ArXiv & Google with Hierarchical Bayesian ModelsOct 2025 · sturdystatistics.com · ▲85
Hi Hacker News! I’m a Bayesian statistician that has been working on applying hierarchical mixture models (originally developed for genomics) to structure text data, and in the process, used these models to build (what started as a personal) tool for conducting literature reviews and deep research. My literature review process starts with a broad search to find a few key papers/groups, and from there expands along their citation networks. I needed to conduct a few rounds of literature reviews during the course of my research and decided to build a tool to facilitate this process. The…
- EGEntropy-Guided Loop – How to make small models reason2025 · github.com · ▲33
TLDR: A small, vendor-agnostic inference loop that turns token logprobs/perplexity/entropy into an extra pass and reasoning for LLMs. - Captures logprobs/top-k during generation, computes perplexity and token-level entropy. - Triggers at most one refine when simple thresholds fire; passes a compact “uncertainty report” (uncertain tokens + top-k alts + local context) back to the model. - In our tests on technical Q&A / math / code, a small model recovered much of “reasoning” quality at ~⅓ the cost while refining ~⅓ of outputs. I kept seeing “reasoning” models behave…
More growth this month
the category →
AstraPixels▲267A pixel-art solar system at its real current positions.
Growth · 29d ago · astrapixels.com
Launched alongside, April 2026
the whole month →
- AG
Thought the resources for GPU arch were lacking, so here we are
Life & fun · Apr 2026 · jaso1024.com
- IB
Built a ~9M param LLM from scratch to understand how they actually work. Vanilla transformer, 60K synthetic conversations, ~130 lines of PyTorch. Trains in 5 min on a free Colab T4. The fish thinks the meaning of life is food. Fork it and swap the personality for your own character.
AI · Apr 2026 · github.com
- BC
Life & fun · Apr 2026 · sam-burns.com
- IB
With social media and now AI, its important to keep the indie web alive. There are many people who write frequently. Blogosphere tries to highlight them by fetching the recent posts from personal blogs across many categories. There are two versions: Minimal (HN-inspired, fast, static): https://text.blogosphere.app/ Non-minimal: https://blogosphere.app/ If you don't find your blog (or your favorite ones), please add them. I will review and approve it.
AI · Apr 2026 · text.blogosphere.app