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Products that do what A prediction market where you can bet against my goals does

  1. 1CY

    Hi HN! Excited to show off the project we've been working on for the last couple months. We started with an idea for a crazy twist on prediction markets: You come up with a question for traders to predict, and then decide the outcome yourself. For example, you could create a market on “Will my date with [X] go well?” Anyone can bet on it, and the bets create a forecast on the chance your date goes well. After the date is over, you get to judge the result and reward the traders who picked the correct side. There are so many ways for this mechanism to go wrong: the creator of the market can be…

    2022 · manifold.markets

  2. 2IC
  3. 3NA
  4. 4BA
  5. 5IM
  6. 6IM
  7. 7SB

    With my friends we wanted to have a nice friendly competition (no money involved) about the football worldcup by predicting the results. I though this might interest other groups of friends so I coded a website just for that in 3 days. Nothing ground breaking but I like the suscription system "Doodle" style with just links, no personal infos... Tell me what you think !

    2014 · nospronos.com

  8. 8SI
  9. 9HI
  10. 10BG
  11. 11

    Bet against yourself to lose weight or pay up.

    2019

  12. 12BT
  13. 13CE
  14. 14AI
  15. 15IB

    I've gotten to the point in my career where I now make strategic decisions often (hiring, firing, choosing what equipment to go with, etc.), as well as in my personal life where I need to strongly weigh my options for a big purchase or investment. I found a not-so-surprising parallel between the two as these decisions "resolved." Am I making good decisions or am I getting lucky? Did some research, read some books, and realized I should get in the habit of tracking my decision process. That quickly turned into the idea that formed Convexly. The landing page is a 10-question calibration quiz…

    Apr 2026 · convexly.app

  16. 16IT
  17. 17FP

    2018 · boggio-analytics.com

  18. 18IM

    Goal is to be kinda like The Economist meets Metaculus Just a quick MVP, would love to hear any feedback

    2023 · baseratetimes.com

  19. 19MW
  20. 20GP
  21. 21NI
  22. 22WF
  23. 23QG
  24. 24FP

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