Augur
You think you predict well. Prove it.
Augur launched on June 24, 2026 with 3 votes, #6,658 of 22,647 launches that month and more than 50% of that year's launches.
What it does
AI gives everyone predictions now. Augur answers the harder question — are YOUR predictions actually good? Log any call, set a deadline, score Hit or Miss. Build your real accuracy record. For analysts, investors, and independent thinkers. $29, no subscription.
Track your predictions. Build a verified track record.Most people think they're good at predicting things. Almost nobody can prove it.Augur is a clean, simple web app where you log your predictions, set a confidence level and deadline, then mark them Hit or Miss when the time comes. Your accuracy score builds automatically.What you get: Instant access to the live app Your own private scoreboard (n
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I built a 2-min quiz that shows you how bad you are at estimatingApr 2026 · convexly.app · ▲20I've gotten to the point in my career where I now make strategic decisions often (hiring, firing, choosing what equipment to go with, etc.), as well as in my personal life where I need to strongly weigh my options for a big purchase or investment. I found a not-so-surprising parallel between the two as these decisions "resolved." Am I making good decisions or am I getting lucky? Did some research, read some books, and realized I should get in the habit of tracking my decision process. That quickly turned into the idea that formed Convexly. The landing page is a 10-question calibration quiz…



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