Covid-19 Projections, Simple Logistic and Exponential Models
Hello, HN! There have been a lot of COVID-19 from various sites, but a common complaint is that simple things like log-scaling population counts are are infrequently done. So I decided to do it: https://covid19.fernandes.org/ I've aggregated the JHU (per Country) and NYT (select US states) data and plotted them under two models: simple exponential growth and simple logistic growth. The plots are updated as the JHU and NYT data is updated (thanks, GitHub actions!). A big challenge has been the writeup because the exponential model implies horrific things, but the logistic model…
Covid-19 Projections, Simple Logistic and Exponential Models launched on April 1, 2020 with 9 votes, #1,324 of 5,003 launches that month and more than 75% of that year's launches.
What it does
In the maker’s words, at launch
Hello, HN! There have been a lot of COVID-19 from various sites, but a common complaint is that simple things like log-scaling population counts are are infrequently done. So I decided to do it: https://covid19.fernandes.org/ I've aggregated the JHU (per Country) and NYT (select US states) data and…
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