Debunking Election Fraud Claims – Interactive Data Viz and Simulations
Hi HN! I built this after seeing several references to Election Truth Alliance on social media, and after reading their analysis, I just couldn't get the problems I saw in it out of my head. So I downloaded the data, and rebuilt their full analysis from scratch. Their critical error is a simple misunderstanding of the Law of Large Numbers: values collected in large samples converge to the true probability in the sample distribution. (not to be confused with the Law of Very Large Numbers: which states that unlikely things happen given enough time. That confused me too) Technical Details: - No…
Debunking Election Fraud Claims – Interactive Data Viz and Simulations launched on July 29, 2025 with 8 votes, #2,947 of 9,223 launches that month and more than 75% of that year's launches. The site was still online in September 2026, 1 year on.
What it does
How a viral misunderstanding of basic statistics spawned a new conspiracy subculture. An interactive analysis of election data claims.
Now let's make things more interesting. Instead of flipping one coin, let's flip four coins at once. Can you predict what percentage will be heads? With more coins, we start to see patterns emerge. The results become more predictable, even though each individual coin flip is still random. This is the beginning of understanding the Law of Large Numbers. Let's do ten coins now. How many will be heads. Put in your guess: I get the feeling you feel like you can win more often than you have, so I'll make it easy for you. I'll run 20 games at once, and put them on a chart for you, and this time you get to pick how many coins are tossed. You only need to be correct within a 10% window. Sorry,I…from sullivan.zip
In the maker’s words, at launch
Hi HN! I built this after seeing several references to Election Truth Alliance on social media, and after reading their analysis, I just couldn't get the problems I saw in it out of my head. So I downloaded the data, and rebuilt their full analysis from scratch. Their critical error is a simple misunderstanding of…
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Find information, resources and relevant links for verifiedfacts.org. This domain may be for sale.

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Growth · 12d ago · wallhop.io


Source: Show HN post ↗ · launch text quoted in part
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