Life & fun · September 24, 2026
Hormuz Signal – Iran war escalation risk from real data
Should you buy oil right now? Hormuz Signal answers with a live verdict built from fast signals (intraday Brent, conflict tempo, strait transits) on top of a 0–100 composite of Iran-conflict escalation risk — shipping, insurance, and energy data, not headlines.
Hormuz Signal – Iran war escalation risk from real data launched on September 24, 2026 with 6 votes, #1,245 of 8,094 launches that month and more than 75% of that year's launches.
What it does
A live gauge of Iran-conflict risk for oil markets — built from shipping, insurance, and energy data, not headlines. Composite 54.5 — bars scaled to the largest contributor; latest reading 11.3 transits/day for Hormuz vessel transits . Daily commercial vessel transits through the Strait of Hormuz, all vessel types. Daily commercial transits through the Bab el-Mandeb strait, all vessel types. Chinese purchases of discounted Iranian crude, proxied by China's officially reported crude imports from Malaysia (the known relabelling channel — direct China–Iran reporting stopped in 2021). Very Large Crude Carrier earnings on the Middle East Gulf to China route, from the CME-listed TD3C Baltic…from hormuzsignal.com
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I simulated closing the Strait of Hormuz on real oil trade dataJul 2026 · globaloilnetwork.staffinganalytics.io · ▲244OP here: I created this visualization tool as the byproduct of a supply chain class I taught at Columbia. The pedagogical exercise grew into a full blown visualization and paper about global oil trade. The model: The mechanics are the same as the financial network Eisenberg-Noe: Instead of banks, every country consumes oil interconnected via bilateral trading. Shocks propagate throughout the network, depleting oil reserves when bottleneck nodes (such as the Strait of Hormuz) are blocked. Insights: The interesting part is the mechanics of how the crisis unfolds: for example, France receives 0…
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I built this because I was interested in the data. Didn't fully get it to what I wanted, but thought I'd share it nonetheless. Maybe someone has better data sources they could share! Turns out live ship tracking APIs are expensive so I manually just copied the json from https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/centerx:57.4/cente... I'll probably have an ai agent do the same thing on some cron interval, if this gets any fanfare. To actually know if the port is open without live ship tracking I found…
StrikeRadar – USA Strike on Iran MonitorJan 2026 · usstrikeradar.com · ▲5Real-time geopolitical risk monitor tracking USA-Iran tension indicators. Live data from news, aviation, oil prices, Hormuz shipping incidents, and prediction markets. Updated every 30 minutes.
- HCHormuz Crisis Dashboard Real-time shipping disruption trackerMar 2026 · hormuztracker.com · ▲32
Built this in ~4 hours with zero coding background. Tracks a few economy angles of the largest acute shipping disruption since WWII.
IranWarLive – Automated, serverless OSINT mapping engineFeb 2026 · iranwarlive.com · ▲6Live interactive map of the Iran-Israel-US war: verified strikes, casualties, airspace and Strait of Hormuz status, updated continuously. Day 195.
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