Life & fun · September 12, 2025
I built a tool to find trading signals that aren't just random luck
Hi HN, I'm a solo dev and for the last few months I've been building Hikaro, a tool to find statistically significant trading signals for [e.g., US equities, crypto, forex]. I built this to solve my own problem: I was tired of backtests that looked great on paper but failed in practice. Simple metrics like "win rate" can be misleading, so I wanted a way to quickly tell if a signal's performance was genuine or just noise. Hikaro ingests daily market data and runs statistical analysis on various trading signals. The goal is to surface signals with strong properties, like: Low p-value: Evidence…
What it does
In the maker’s words, at launch
Hi HN, I'm a solo dev and for the last few months I've been building Hikaro, a tool to find statistically significant trading signals for [e.g., US equities, crypto, forex]. I built this to solve my own problem: I was tired of backtests that looked great on paper but failed in practice. Simple metrics like "win rate" can be misleading, so I wanted a way to quickly tell if a signal's performance was genuine or just noise. Hikaro ingests daily market data and runs statistical analysis on various trading signals. The goal is to surface signals with strong properties, like: Low p-value: Evidence that the performance is not a random fluke. High Sharpe Ratio: Better risk-adjusted returns. Healthy 'Core Performance': The average return after removing the single best outlier trade, for a more conservative view. Other key metrics like Profit Factor and Max Drawdown that you can filter by. I'm looking for my first users and would love your feedback. I'm offering a 30-day free trial of the Pro plan (which includes Telegram alerts) with no credit card required. I'll be here all day to answer any questions. I'm especially keen to hear feedback on the concept and the metrics. Thanks, HN!
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