OptionEV

What it does

OptionEV introduces a new way to analyze options trades using true expected value and probability modeling—not guesses or generic broker metrics. The platform combines a normal-distribution engine with LSMC simulations to show real edge, outcome probabilities, and optimal hold/exit timing. It turns complex quant logic into simple, visual insights that help traders trade smarter and avoid low-EV setups.

Calculate the expected value of options trades using probability, edge, and risk metrics. Go beyond basic payoff calculators with OptionEV.

This options trading calculator shows whether an options trade is actually profitable by calculating its expected value (EV), probability of profit, and edge. Unlike basic payoff calculators that only display max profit and max loss, this tool weights every possible outcome by its probability — revealing what you're expected to make or lose over time. The calculator supports vertical spreads (call debit, put debit, call credit, put credit), iron condors, iron butterflies, covered calls, cash-secured puts, and naked options. Real-time market data provides current implied volatility and expected move calculations for accurate probability estimates. Expected value represents the average profit…from optionev.com

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