OutcomeEdge

What it does

OutcomeEdge helps prediction market traders identify mispriced odds on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi. Instead of hype or “signals,” OutcomeEdge compares market prices to data-driven probability models, highlighting where the market may be over- or under-estimating outcomes. Designed as a decision-support tool, not a trading bot- helping users filter bad trades, spot asymmetric opportunities, and understand risk before committing capital.

OutcomeEdge provides real-time analytics, EV calculations, and strategy signals for Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets. Find mispriced markets across weather, sports, politics, and crypto.

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  PredictionHunt – Compare probabilities across prediction markets2025 · predictionhunt.com · ▲12

  Hey HN - my friend and I built Prediction Hunt, a site that aggregates data from prediction markets like Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt into one simple dashboard. It updates every few minutes, shows probabilities for each event, and even highlights arbitrage opportunities when markets disagree. I made it after getting tired of flipping between tabs just to see how each market was pricing the same question. Would love feedback on the product, data accuracy, and any ideas for what you'd want to see next.

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  Create your own prediction market in two minutes2022 · manifold.markets · ▲84

  Hi HN! Excited to show off the project we've been working on for the last couple months. We started with an idea for a crazy twist on prediction markets: You come up with a question for traders to predict, and then decide the outcome yourself. For example, you could create a market on “Will my date with [X] go well?” Anyone can bet on it, and the bets create a forecast on the chance your date goes well. After the date is over, you get to judge the result and reward the traders who picked the correct side. There are so many ways for this mechanism to go wrong: the creator of the market can be…

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