Tykhy

What it does

Every prediction market is built like a sportsbook: pick a side, place a bet, move on. Tykhy is the research desk version. One workspace across all 12 venues (Polymarket, Kalshi, Gemini, Manifold + 8 more) — portfolio management, collaborative discovery through Crates (publish your thesis + legs) and Factions (your research tribe), a Vigilance score grading your calibration over time, and a context layer of equities, economics, and culture data anchored to every market.

• CY
  Create your own prediction market in two minutes2022 · manifold.markets · ▲84

  Hi HN! Excited to show off the project we've been working on for the last couple months. We started with an idea for a crazy twist on prediction markets: You come up with a question for traders to predict, and then decide the outcome yourself. For example, you could create a market on “Will my date with [X] go well?” Anyone can bet on it, and the bets create a forecast on the chance your date goes well. After the date is over, you get to judge the result and reward the traders who picked the correct side. There are so many ways for this mechanism to go wrong: the creator of the market can be…

• PC
  PredictionHunt – Compare probabilities across prediction marketsOct 2025 · predictionhunt.com · ▲12

  Hey HN - my friend and I built Prediction Hunt, a site that aggregates data from prediction markets like Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt into one simple dashboard. It updates every few minutes, shows probabilities for each event, and even highlights arbitrage opportunities when markets disagree. I made it after getting tired of flipping between tabs just to see how each market was pricing the same question. Would love feedback on the product, data accuracy, and any ideas for what you'd want to see next.

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  PredictefyMar 2026 · ▲6

  The Flagship Prediction Market Terminal.

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  PrediktionJan 2026 · ▲7

  Prediction Market Terminal (Aggregator)

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  PredictionBubbles24d ago · predictionbubbles.net · ▲3

  The live visual map of prediction markets

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  Your Prediction EdgeFeb 2026 · ▲2

  Compare prediction market odds across 5 exchanges instantly

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  PaymentKit▲466

  Billing that survives a processor shutdown

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  Equitybee Benchmark▲241

  Compare your startup equity grant for free.

  Commerce · 26d ago · equitybee.com

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  Brew ▲905

  Like Claude design for email marketing

  AI · May 2026 · brew.new

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  Kilo Code for VS Code▲897

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  Dev tools · May 2026 · kilo.ai

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  StoreClaw▲805

  Grow your store profits with agents that know how to sell

  AI · May 2026 · storeclaw.ai

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  PollyReach▲796

  Give your agent a real number and voice to make calls.

  AI · May 2026 · pollyreach.ai

• NW
  Needle: We Distilled Gemini Tool Calling into a 26M Model▲776

  Hey HN, Henry here from Cactus. We open-sourced Needle, a 26M parameter function-calling (tool use) model. It runs at 6000 tok/s prefill and 1200 tok/s decode on consumer devices. We were always frustrated by the little effort made towards building agentic models that run on budget phones, so we conducted investigations that led to an observation: agentic experiences are built upon tool calling, and massive models are overkill for it. Tool calling is fundamentally retrieval-and-assembly (match query to tool name, extract argument values, emit JSON), not reasoning. Cross-attention…

  Life & fun · May 2026 · github.com

• FM
  Files.md – Open-source alternative to Obsidian▲730

  Dev tools · May 2026 · github.com