Wordle-style game for Fermi questions
Some months ago @andrewrn tried to create a Wordle-style site for order-of-magnitude thinking. This was a wonderful idea, but the actual site was somewhat over-engineered and confusing. (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43632278) In the past week, I looked at this idea again and built a very simple site which gives you a new Fermi estimation question every day: How many new cars were sold in the US in 2024?; How many humans have ever lived (including those currently alive)?; How many chickens are slaughtered for meat every year? To win, you need a guess within ±20% of the…
Wordle-style game for Fermi questions launched on August 2, 2025 with 35 votes, #523 of 8,530 launches that month and more than 90% of that year's launches. The site was still online in September 2026, 1 year on.
In plain words
This daily game presents Fermi estimation challenges where players guess order-of-magnitude answers to questions like "How many chickens are slaughtered annually?" Players have six attempts to get within ±20% of the correct answer, receiving feedback on whether each guess is too high or low. Designed for anyone wanting to develop numerical intuition and estimation skills, it strips away complexity in favor of a straightforward Wordle-like experience focused on quantitative reasoning.
written from the facts on this page · September 2026
From the sources
A Wordle-style game for Fermi questions. Guess the answer to estimation questions in 6 or less tries.
A new game, Fermi Poker, is now available that combines Fermi estimation with poker mechanics — with integrated video chat! When the probability calibration mode is enabled, you are able to log your confidence with each guess and track how well your probabilities match reality. A calibration chart showing whether you're over- or underconfident is available on the stats page. Make a Fermi estimate: break the problem into simple factors, choose round numbers, then multiply. Population a little over 100M -> about 50M households -> roughly 80% own a car -> 40M cars. If cars are replaced about every 10 years, that means roughly 4M new cars sold per year. Guess the answer to estimation questions…from fermiquestions.org
In the maker’s words, at launch
Some months ago @andrewrn tried to create a Wordle-style site for order-of-magnitude thinking. This was a wonderful idea, but the actual site was somewhat over-engineered and confusing. (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43632278) In the past week, I looked at this idea again and built a very simple…
Does a similar job
all alternatives →- FAFermi – A Wordle-style game for order-of-magnitude thinking2025 · fermi-game.andrewnoble.me · ▲52
I always thought it was cool when someone could make a plausible estimate from reasonable guesses. I recently learned that these are sometimes named after Enrico Fermi, the famous physicist, and its the same technique used to create his famous Fermi paradox. You build a rough logic chain using a few sliders and fixed quantities (e.g. weeks per year), and the goal is to get within an order of magnitude of the true answer. The math is simple; the thinking is the game. Would love feedback.



I built a Wordle decoder that guesses your guesses2022 · github.com · ▲90A Wordle decoder that guesses your guesses. Contribute to mattruzicka/wordle_decoder development by creating an account on GitHub.
Feudle – A daily puzzle game built with AI2025 · feudlegame.com · ▲52I’m a game show nerd who wanted to build a game, despite not being a developer. Using ChatGPT, I created Feudle – a blend of Family Feud and Wordle. Each day, there’s a survey question, and players try to guess the most popular responses—but the twist is that today’s answers come from real players who played yesterday. After playing, you can vote on or submit new questions, shaping future Feudles. If I were to start again, I’d explore newer AI-assisted coding tools like Cursor, but overall, this was a great learning experience. Hopefully, this inspires others to experiment with AI tools to…
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