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Products that do what FluffyPoly does

Trade prediction market With Tactical Agents

  1. 1CY

    Hi HN! Excited to show off the project we've been working on for the last couple months. We started with an idea for a crazy twist on prediction markets: You come up with a question for traders to predict, and then decide the outcome yourself. For example, you could create a market on “Will my date with [X] go well?” Anyone can bet on it, and the bets create a forecast on the chance your date goes well. After the date is over, you get to judge the result and reward the traders who picked the correct side. There are so many ways for this mechanism to go wrong: the creator of the market can be…

    2022 · manifold.markets

  2. 2
    Vequil68

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  17. 17MC

    This project grew out of frustration of trying to find out the odds of a Hantavirus pandemic. When I went to search for it, I had to wade through sports gambling, and novelty markets that distracted me from just getting a really useful number with context to know if it was accurate. To solve this, my friend and I made mondael.com, which we're using to analyze, and visualize interesting prediction markets in the realm of: Geopolitics, Elections, Macro, Finance, Energy, and Science & Technology. The basic belief is that prediction markets can often move faster than news, but only if the data…

    Jul 2026 · mondael.com

  18. 18

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  24. 24NA

    Hi HN, we're developing Neverbell, an AI agent that combines market analysis with trade execution. One of our beta testers said to Neverbell: “Protect my downside, but don’t be too conservative.” Volatility increased a few days later, and the agent decreased their exposure. Our tester wasn’t happy. The interesting part for us was that both interpretations were reasonable. The agent gave more weight to “protect my downside.” The user thought that “don't be too conservative” was more important. It changed the way we built Neverbell. Now, if the agent sees any instructions that conflict, it…

    Jul 2026 · neverbell.com

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