Calculated
"bet doesn't include greed.it include oppinion"
What it does
Calculated is a high-fidelity, gamified prediction market platform designed to let you "trade the truth." It combines the analytical rigor of financial trading with the social engagement of a multiplayer game. Instead of stocks, you trade on the outcome of real-world events—from political elections and economic shifts to pop culture moments and scientific breakthroughs.
Does the same job
all alternatives →- RTRead the Tape – Wordle for daytrading, five blind S&P 500 charts a dayJul 2026 · readthetape.cc · ▲70
Read the Tape gives players the same 5 S&P500 stock charts per day to predict. You select low, medium or high confidence and then call the chart UP or DOWN. It's a 1d chart which then resolves over 5 days. Alpha is scored against the Monkey Index, a basket of 11 random coin flips at low confidence which provides a tangible win/lose condition. We're two weeks in and some interesting data is being kicked up. Players like to call tops even though stonks go up- 60% of the 70 charts so far resolve higher, players' down calls have only been right 31% of the time. There's a full stats dive at…
- CYCreate your own prediction market in two minutes2022 · manifold.markets · ▲84
Hi HN! Excited to show off the project we've been working on for the last couple months. We started with an idea for a crazy twist on prediction markets: You come up with a question for traders to predict, and then decide the outcome yourself. For example, you could create a market on “Will my date with [X] go well?” Anyone can bet on it, and the bets create a forecast on the chance your date goes well. After the date is over, you get to judge the result and reward the traders who picked the correct side. There are so many ways for this mechanism to go wrong: the creator of the market can be…
- BMBetron Markets – Shape the future with your predictions2024 · app.betron.io · ▲10
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