Manifold Markets
Create your own prediction markets
Manifold Markets launched on February 9, 2022 with 10 votes, #1,113 of 2,670 launches that month and more than 50% of that year's launches.
What it does
Manifold Markets is a platform for user-created prediction markets. Learn about the future by creating a market on any topic you care about. Or win virtual money by betting on what you know, from covid to elections to when your best friend will get married.
Does a similar job
all alternatives →- CYCreate your own prediction market in two minutes2022 · manifold.markets · ▲84
Hi HN! Excited to show off the project we've been working on for the last couple months. We started with an idea for a crazy twist on prediction markets: You come up with a question for traders to predict, and then decide the outcome yourself. For example, you could create a market on “Will my date with [X] go well?” Anyone can bet on it, and the bets create a forecast on the chance your date goes well. After the date is over, you get to judge the result and reward the traders who picked the correct side. There are so many ways for this mechanism to go wrong: the creator of the market can be…
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