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Life & fun · August 12, 2026

Posts grew 6x since ChatGPT, but success rate remained relatively flat

Show HN submissions peaked at 6.3x their ChatGPT-launch level, while the number of successful submissions remained relatively flat.

Posts grew 6x since ChatGPT, but success rate remained relatively flat launched on August 12, 2026 with 11 votes, #971 of 23,274 launches that month and more than 90% of that year's launches.

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In plain words

This project analyzes trends in Show HN submissions on Hacker News, revealing that post volume surged to 6.3 times its level when ChatGPT launched, while the actual number of successful submissions remained relatively flat. The analysis tracks how increased competition among Show HN posts has occurred despite unchanged success rates, providing insight into the changing dynamics of the Hacker News community since the generative AI boom. It's designed for anyone interested in platform trends, community engagement patterns, or the impact of AI tools on developer communities.

written from the facts on this page · September 2026

From the sources

Compare total Show HN submissions with posts reaching 100+ points, using 12-month averages or raw monthly counts.

Does a similar job

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  • I built an interactive HN SimulatorNov 2025 · news.ysimulator.run · ▲538

    Hey HN! Just for fun, I built an interactive Hacker News Simulator. You can submit text posts and links, just like the real HN. But on HN Simulator, all of the comments are generated by LLMs + generate instantly. The best way to use it (IMHO) is to submit a text post or a curl-able URL here: https://news.ysimulator.run/submit. You don't need an account to post. When you do that, various prompts will be built from a library of commenter archetypes, moods, and shapes. The AI commenters will actually respond to your text post and/or submitted link. I really wanted it to feel…

  • Exploring HN by mapping and analyzing 40M posts and comments for fun2024 · blog.wilsonl.in · ▲520

    Accessible end-to-end deep dive of crawling, embedding, projecting, and semantic searching all of Hacker News for my Hackerverse project.

  • SH
    Show HN submissions have tripled since 2023Jan 2026 · imgur.com · ▲18

    I analyzed 10 years of Hacker News data (2016-2025) to track Show HN submission trends. - Show HN posts went from ~900/month (2016-2019) to 3,315 in Dec 2025 - Share of all stories: 2.4% (2016) → 12.8% (Dec 2025) - Notable spikes: COVID-19 (2020), AI boom (2023), and accelerating growth through 2024-2025 Data source: HackerBook (144k Show HN posts / 3.4M total stories)

  • FY
    Five Years of Show HN2016 · antontarasenko.github.io · ▲16
  • I asked an HN member for feedback and she blew my mind2010 · slideshare.net · ▲453

    A few days ago, I responded to a comment by bloggergirl offering to read anyone's web copy and help. I shot off an email hoping for a paragraph or two of feedback on my startup's copy. Instead I received a professional, detailed deck of tons of invaluable well thought out feedback. It must have taken her an entire afternoon. Here's a link to it: http://www.slideshare.net/shereefb/recommendations-for-bettermeans To top it off, this isn't someone with a lot of free time on her hands, she's only days away from launching her own startup (page99test) This community blows my mind!

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    Hey HN We loaded a BigQuery dataset of all of Hacker News, every comment, story and user, into camelAI. You can ask questions like: • “When does dang tend to comment during the day?” • “Which domains have gained the most submissions since 2015, year-over-year?” • “How has average comment length changed each January since 2007?” • “Top five users who link to arXiv papers the most.” It's behind a log-in to prevent abuse but free to use for 10 messages. No payment info required. We use OpenAI o3 or Claude sonnet 3.7 for the agent which can be really expensive. Would love feedback especially…

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