Commerce · alternatives · 2026
24 alternatives to Kalshi's Election Forecasting Challenge
Predict the outcome of every congressional race. Win $100K.
Below are 24 products that do a similar job, ranked by how close each is in meaning and then by launch-day votes. Kalshi's Election Forecasting Challenge launched in 2022; newer entries below may have overtaken it.
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Carl Diggler, the most successful election forecaster
2016 · open.spotify.com · its alternatives →
- 3
Millions▲128Follow @Millions. Match 6 #s. Win our VC's money.
2021 · millions.app · its alternatives →
- 4
Who's going to win the Iowa caucuses?
2016 · abcnews.com · its alternatives →
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Using net promoter to predict the presidential race
2016 · soundcloud.com · its alternatives →
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In The Year 2024▲109We have future presidents' domains - buy shares and get paid
2021 · intheyear2024.com · its alternatives →
- 10
The most accurate and unbiased way to predict the election
2016 · its alternatives →
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- 12
- 13
Election Day▲66Play as your favourite candidate and win the 2016 election!
2016 · apps.apple.com · its alternatives →
- 14
Where sports fans predict outcomes and win cash
2018 · playtally.com · its alternatives →
- 15BG
In Spain, there's a betting game called La Quiniela: https://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/La_Quiniela_(Espa%C3%B1a) Players predict the outcome of 14 football matches (home win, draw, away win). You win money if you get at least 10 correct, and the prize amount depends on the number of winners. Since all bets are public, the number of winners and the corresponding payouts can be estimated for each of the 3^14 possible outcomes. We can also estimate their probabilities using bookmaker odds, allowing us to compute the expected value for each prediction. As a side project, I wanted…
2025 · its alternatives →
- 16
MondayPicks▲74Fantasy stock competition for you and your co-workers
2021 · mondaypicks.com · its alternatives →
- 17
Swap Votes. boost harris. protest in safe states. beat trump
2024 · swapyourvote.org · its alternatives →
- 18
Turning political transparency into fantasy sports
Jun 2026 · blindtrust.io · its alternatives →
- 19
Hey guys, So we made this site with the goal of funding a lobbyist to represent the 99%. The money comes from small pledges of $5 and up. So far we've raised nearly $10k in under a week. We're focusing fund raising efforts on causes. I'm the founder and lead developer, and I'd love to hear this community's thoughts on the project as well as answer any questions. Thanks guys! http://www.wethelobby.com/
2012 · wethelobby.com · its alternatives →
- 20TP
Hey HN! The idea for this started when I came across the election forecast of FiveThirthyEight [1]. They show a 1000 different possible election outcomes - each one possible. In this newspaper homepage, I try to turn these simulations into reality by feeding AI with as much detailed information about a simulation as I can (e.g. voting results per state). See source code here [2]. The whole process is explained in more depth in my blog post: https://nerology.substack.com/p/how-i-made-the-probability-t... [1]…
2024 · theprobabilitytimes.com · its alternatives →
- 21FS
2019 · 2020madness.com · its alternatives →
- 22
Get $100K to build a better Facebook.
2018 · openbookchallenge.com · its alternatives →
- 23
Discussing prediction markets for the GOP nomination
2015 · cultivatelabs.com · its alternatives →
- 24PT
In 2008, I did some calculations to estimate the probability of Obama or McCain winning the election, using state poll results, and plotted the probabilities vs time, right up to the election. The results were quite interesting. So, this year, I'm doing the same for the 2012 elections, and have put it all up on: http://prespredict.com I include both 2012 and 2008 results, and make an attempt to see how they correlate with campaign events and national news stories. There is also a section where I describe the methodology. Let me know what you think [P.S. I used bootstrap to get the site up…
2012 · prespredict.com · its alternatives →
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Ranked by how close each launch is in meaning, then by votes. Prices were read from each product’s own site when checked and can change. Refine with your own description →