Commerce · alternatives · 2026
24 alternatives to Kalshi's Election Forecasting Challenge
Predict the outcome of every congressional race. Win $100K.
Below are 24 products that do a similar job, ranked by how close each is in meaning and then by launch-day votes. Kalshi's Election Forecasting Challenge launched in 2022; newer entries below may have overtaken it.
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The most accurate and unbiased way to predict the election
2016 · its alternatives →
- 7FS
2019 · 2020madness.com · its alternatives →
- 8
- 9
- 10
Where sports fans predict outcomes and win cash
2018 · its alternatives →
- 11BG
In Spain, there's a betting game called La Quiniela: https://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/La_Quiniela_(Espa%C3%B1a) Players predict the outcome of 14 football matches (home win, draw, away win). You win money if you get at least 10 correct, and the prize amount depends on the number of winners. Since all bets are public, the number of winners and the corresponding payouts can be estimated for each of the 3^14 possible outcomes. We can also estimate their probabilities using bookmaker odds, allowing us to compute the expected value for each prediction. As a side project, I wanted…
2025 · its alternatives →
- 12
Swap Votes. boost harris. protest in safe states. beat trump
2024 · swapyourvote.org · its alternatives →
- 13
Turning political transparency into fantasy sports
Jun 2026 · blindtrust.io · its alternatives →
- 14TP
Hey HN! The idea for this started when I came across the election forecast of FiveThirthyEight [1]. They show a 1000 different possible election outcomes - each one possible. In this newspaper homepage, I try to turn these simulations into reality by feeding AI with as much detailed information about a simulation as I can (e.g. voting results per state). See source code here [2]. The whole process is explained in more depth in my blog post: https://nerology.substack.com/p/how-i-made-the-probability-t... [1]…
2024 · theprobabilitytimes.com · its alternatives →
- 15WM
Hey guys, So we made this site with the goal of funding a lobbyist to represent the 99%. The money comes from small pledges of $5 and up. So far we've raised nearly $10k in under a week. We're focusing fund raising efforts on causes. I'm the founder and lead developer, and I'd love to hear this community's thoughts on the project as well as answer any questions. Thanks guys! http://www.wethelobby.com/
2012 · its alternatives →
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- 17PT
In 2008, I did some calculations to estimate the probability of Obama or McCain winning the election, using state poll results, and plotted the probabilities vs time, right up to the election. The results were quite interesting. So, this year, I'm doing the same for the 2012 elections, and have put it all up on: http://prespredict.com I include both 2012 and 2008 results, and make an attempt to see how they correlate with campaign events and national news stories. There is also a section where I describe the methodology. Let me know what you think [P.S. I used bootstrap to get the site up…
2012 · its alternatives →
- 18
Run $500 monthly contests on your website, for only 29!
2019 · its alternatives →
- 19
Democracy is an active sport, let’s play our part.
2020 · its alternatives →
- 20TM
Hi HN, I’ve been frustrated that I only find out how my representatives voted when the news cycle decides to cover it, so I built a simple script that texts me a digest instead. What it is: • Pick daily / weekly / bi-weekly / monthly • Get one SMS listing each vote cast by your House rep + both Senators • Messages include bill numbers, your rep’s “Yea/Nay/Present”, a one-sentence summary, and a link to congress.gov How to try it: 1. Open the link (above) 2. Fill the Google Form with name + phone 3. Text “YES” back to opt in (First month is free with code "PRODHUNT"…
2025 · sites.google.com · its alternatives →
- 21WS
Hi HN! I made a live presidential polling website with real-time electoral results. Votes can be changed at any time until the poll closes. Only visitors from the USA can participate. Congressional district is detected automatically. The idea is to enable a coordinated voting process, where selections are non-binding and negotiable rather than blindly cast once. Kind of like a presidential caucus, but national and over the Internet. The infra is Fastly & DigitalOcean. Backend is a Django service running on DO App Platform with Postgres. Fastly is used for edge logic, captcha, geo location,…
2024 · ileantoward.com · its alternatives →
- 22CB
A quick weekend side project. I am curious if the like count of a candidate for office can predict if they will win. For the past month or so I have been tracking the likes of several campaigns. Today I put a prettier face on it. http://cmpgns.net/ After the election I will do a quick analysis of the races and see if anything interesting turns up. If anyone adds a candidate I'm missing, I'll go in and add their opponent
2010 · its alternatives →
- 23PM
Hey HN, I have been working on using the info-gathering and truth-seeking properties of the markets to get more honest reporting on all sort of things. The idea is to have a market game where people can wager a fake currency on what think is true and then, the citizen reviews the crowd-sourced information and makes a judgement about which position has the best case. It is crowd-sourced journalism with a market game. Please let me know what you think and my email is [email protected], if you have any questions.
2025 · thecitizen.io · its alternatives →
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free stock picking contest
2025 · longshortcontest.com · its alternatives →
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Ranked by how close each launch is in meaning, then by votes. Prices were read from each product’s own site when checked and can change. Refine with your own description →